Hogan in The Washington Post “5-Minute Fix”
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Hogan in The Washington Post “5-Minute Fix”

The case for ignoring most polls right now

The trend line of these polls is negative for Biden, but it’s just too early to even look at these findings, argues Tim Hogan, a Democratic strategist. He points out that President Barack Obama was ruled out at this point in his reelection. Same with other two-term presidents. “And this is the big point,” Hogan said. “People have not grasped that Donald Trump is the Republican nominee yet.”

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Associated Press: The Themes of the 2024 Presidential Race
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Associated Press: The Themes of the 2024 Presidential Race

Democratic strategist Tim Hogan said the Biden campaign needs to combat “a complacency that people fall into when they feel like there’s a rematch,” Hogan said. To counter that, he said, Biden should promote his administration’s achievements while reminding voters what everyday life was like under Trump.

Setting up the contrast, he said: “It’s a stability and chaos question for voters.”

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Hogan in The Hill: "Dean Phillips Vibe-Killing Presidential Run"
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Hogan in The Hill: "Dean Phillips Vibe-Killing Presidential Run"

Rep. Dean Phillips (D-Minn.) has publicly lauded President Joe Biden as “a wonderful and remarkable man” with an “extraordinary legacy.” Launching his campaign for president, he commended Biden for doing a “spectacular job.” He adores Joe Biden, saying he “saved this country.”

Effusive compliments and then a primary challenge: This is officially the most “Minnesota Nice” presidential campaign in history. It is also doomed to fail.

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